However, Vietnam is not a country that always walks the talk, so we have to wait to see itsdeeds.
Vietnam is a highly diversified country among China's neighbors. And now it is difficult to say which nation displays more interest in developing the bilateral ties. With a brewingterritorial dispute, the two neighbors have suffered several battles since China adopted the policy of reform and opening up in 1978. Similar political systems facilitate the two sides to communicate with each other but play a quite limited role in eliminating the differences.
Both China and Vietnam have advantages in this simmering row. Beijing has a strategic edge and a powerful resolve, while Hanoi has a geographical advantage as it is located
nearer to the South China Sea.
Furthermore, China's policy must remain consistent with its global strategic interests.
Plus, the US'"pivot to Asia" strategy provides Vietnam with an opportunity to involve thegreatest power in the contention. Although Washington and Hanoi are not military allies,they can still support each other to gain benefit.
Meanwhile, Japan and the Philippines have also been stirring up provocations in the SouthChina Sea. All these elements have endowed Hanoi with capital to contend with China.
It should be noted that this is a normal state of the South China Sea but Beijing will be thedeciding force once the Sino-Vietnamese contradiction flares up. China is capable of
temporarily laying aside other strategic endeavors to concentrate on dealing with any
provocateur in its periphery. This circumstance, once happening, will incur more losses to Hanoi than to Beijing.
Vietnam lacks the impetus to improve relations with China. This also explains why Hanoi israther to play Taichi with China. As socialist nations, both of them have borne political pressure from the West.
Whether the incumbent Vietnamese government expects to mend fences with China is up to its domestic political stability.
A fundamental solution to the intractable issue between China and Vietnam calls for afavorable regional environment. Beijing can't afford to allow the bilateral conundrum to drag on.
We must learn to care for the interests in different directions and adopt a positive and
staunch attitude toward this issue. We should let Vietnam realize that siding with
Washington to contain Beijing will cost it more than taking a China-friendly policy as a national strategy.
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